Here in this post I described the bias into July, and the sentiment manipulation. This remains basically intact.
And here I described you the regime shift
We will most likely see a low volume holiday week.
The reversion model signals 82.33% probability for a mean reversion. And both momentum and positioning-wise the move has reached a point where mean reversion trading algos will come into effect again and cool the metrics off. So what I expect now is ranging in in the zones I will provide you below.
Also will tell in short about JPM collar and how I see July FOMC now, and trading advice…