Stochastic Volatility Trader - Quant Insights

Stochastic Volatility Trader - Quant Insights

Market analysis

Intraday post (05/March)

Mar 05, 2026
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Weekly post:

West-East war is escalating, Hormuz, Oil, Inflation | Weekly post (2-6/March)

West-East war is escalating, Hormuz, Oil, Inflation | Weekly post (2-6/March)

Alma
·
Mar 1
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Market did not confirmed anything, it’s being kept in uncertainity and ranging as I called las autumn-december.
Downside keeps being protected as I write it every day, refinery-hit is not reported from Saudi, they want to avoid flush. I think they will be successful with this, but we need to pass March 15/18 window.

I dropped plenty of free analysis here and on Twitter too about the geo situation. Please, read it to understand it well. Lot of misunderstanding is circulating… (listen to somebody who foresee theses all more than a year ago)
I might will write a bigger one to sum it all up including Russia.

Let’s look at the daily positioning…

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