Stochastic Volatility Trader - Quant Insights

Stochastic Volatility Trader - Quant Insights

Market analysis

Intraday post (01/May)

May 01, 2026
∙ Paid

Weekly post:

Market analysis

Customers are long the weekly skew | Weekly post (27/April - 01/May)

Alma
·
Apr 26
Customers are long the weekly skew | Weekly post (27/April - 01/May)

Context

Read full story

Trend still points up just as I forecasted last week, in a compressed vol/upward drifting rangebound manner. Call wall keeps being rolled upward, while economy is ahead of the staglfationary shock from the H2.
Last year I signaled MSFT top, also FNMA and MOH keep printing.. even tho we are not in the cycle when these stocks will show their values.

ES=F 7200 is a pivot, but volumen is low, so we should not expect momentum. BTD intraday environment at worst.

Let’s look at the positioning…

User's avatar

Continue reading this post for free, courtesy of Alma.

Or purchase a paid subscription.
© 2026 Alma · Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start your SubstackGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture